First of all based on many e-mails I have received I want to comment that our area of Mexico, that is the SOUTHEAST MEXICO including all of the Yucatan Peninsula was not affected by Hurricane Alex. We have toured the beaches from Bacalar to Cancun and there is NO DAMAGE from the passing of Hurricane Alex or remnants of him before or after development.
Current Conditions: Although the famous Weather Channel reports RAIN everyday it is not the case but of course this time of year you can expect because of the tropical waves and warm sea surface temperatures isolated afternoon or evening showers or thundershowers.
That being said and the fact that Tropical Wave 17 just passed us yesterday it is important to mention that in the last 20 days we have had NO days of just rain and 4 of those days somewhere in Cancun or the Riviera Maya there WAS an isolated shower or sustained shower (more than an hour). We haven’t had any like storms or heavy rain since the end of June when we had 2 days of heavy rains in Playa Del Carmen.
What is an isolated shower or thundershower? Well a good example is last week I left my house in the north of Playa Del Carmen and headed to Akumal, in the south of Playa Del Carmen near Xcaret it was raining hard and sporadically from Xcaret to Akumal there was rain or showers off and on. Yesterday was another of those days with some periods of drizzle and overnight showers as TW 17 moves away from us and Tropical Wave 18 begins to enter the area.
We are watching INVEST 97L but not looking like a concern for us here AT ALL, at this point, all models have the system moving north northwest along the east of Cuba and heading toward the tip of Florida and then into the Gulf of Mexico.
Tropical Event Development? Currently the conditions in the Tropical Atlantic / Sub Tropical Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico are NOT FAVORABLE for development while the Caribbean Conditions 2 days ago became FAVORABLE for development of a tropical event. INVEST 97L is currently on top of DR and PR dumping rain and is an area of concern for future development (24 hours to Tropical Depression).
What will become Tropical Wave 18 is right in front of INVEST 97L moving to the west and will emerge into the Pacific (crossing Central America) and will affect in a big way Chiapas, Oaxaca and Guerrero along the Pacific Coast and Southern Campeche, Tabasco, y Veracruz.
Anyway, for today clouds should give way to some sunshine in the afternoon, overnight partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of showers, tomorrow should be the better day of the week, with partly to mostly SUNNY skies here in the area and Friday not a bad day before soon to be Tropical Wave 18 starts moving to the area.
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